Service Plays Monday 7/5/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

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Thank you, wilheim




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Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ATS LOCK CLUB

3 UNIT Tampa Bay Rays
3 UNIT Chicago White Sox

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher 7/5

NYM (-135) over CIN

 

[ugk]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Monday's Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers Staff


Streaking

Felix Hernandez (6-5, 3.03 ERA), Seattle Mariners

Seattle pitchers make back-to-back appearances in the streaking section with King Felix following Cliff Lee from yesterday. The M’s have been awful this season but you can’t blame either hurler for the team’s problems.

Hernandez has pitched at least eight innings in each of his last four starts and he’s struck out 37 batters compared to just six walks. The Mariners are 3-1 in those last four trips to the hill and the under is 5-0-2 in his last seven outings.

Slumping

Ian Kennedy (3-6, 3.77) Arizona Diamondbacks

Kennedy has lost his last three starts - surrendering 17 hits and 13 earned runs during that span - and hasn't gotten a win since May 19.

Control problems have been the source of his frustration. Kennedy walked a career-high nine walks in his last outing. The Diamondbacks even elected to skip his last turn in the rotation.

"Honestly, I have no idea but I need to figure it out," said Kennedy, who became the first pitcher in the majors to allow nine or more walks since Boston's Josh Beckett in 2006. "It's not acceptable and it's very, very frustrating. I don't know what's wrong. I have to look at film and figure it out quick before my next outing."

Scott Kazmir (7-7, 5.67) Los Angeles Angels

After winning four consecutive starts, Kazmir has barely gotten warmed up before being pulled in his last two outings - both losses that lasted less than five innings.

Kazmir allowed 12 hits and 10 earned runs in his last 8 1/3 innings, exiting his last start in the fifth after being hammered by the crosstown Dodgers.
His problems have been more mechanical than mental. Kazmir seems to have lost his slider, leaving him with only a fastball and changeup to do battle.

"Scott didn't have everything working for him," Angels manager Mike Scioscia said after falling to the Dodgers. "As his fastball command got shaky, he was getting behind hitters. He didn't have many tools in his box."

 

[ugk]

HOT LINES

Monday's Best MLB Bets

Los Angeles Angels at Chicago White Sox (-150, 9.5)

The Angels' bats have hit a cold spell in July, managing just five runs in their first three games of the month.

Their two losses have come against inferior pitchers, Kansas City's Kyle Davies and Bruce Chen, who are a combined 16 games under .500 for their careers. The Halos made them look like Cy Young candidates.

"I think the opposing teams' pitching was good, but we haven't been able to take advantage of our scoring opportunities," said Angels slugger Hideki Matsui. "It's not like we didn't have any chances."

So what are the Angels' chances after playing a late game Sunday night then treking across two time zones to Chicago to face sizzling White Sox starter Gavin Floyd, who is unbeaten with a 1.25 ERA over his last three starts? About the same as their bats lateyl - slim.

Pick: Chicago White Sox


Florida Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers (-165, 8.5)

The Marlins have looked like a tired team, both mentally and physically, over their last 10 games. During that span they've lost seven games and one manager.

So it's a bad time to start a West Coast road swing against the suddenly hot Dodgers, especially after playing a "home series" in Puerto Rico and being swept by the Braves in Atlanta.

"It stinks. We've had close games, and more than a couple that we should have won," Marlins rookie Gabby Sanchez said of the team's downslide. "We just can't get into that rhythm and get into that groove. It's going to come. Hopefully, it comes sooner [rather] than later."

The Dodgers have won four of their last five on the road and have been pounding the ball despite the loss of Manny Ramirez. They have averaged seven runs per game over that span and face lefty Nate Robertson, who has given up that many per start in his last three outings.

Pick: LA Dodgers

 

[ugk]

TIPS AND NOTES
Bettors' Best Friend (BBF): Monday's Wagering Tips
By Covers Staff


Lines To Keep An Eye On

Giants at Brewers: Brewers opened as -135 favorites but have fallen to as low as -113 at some books.

Cubs at Diamondbacks: Total opened at 9.5 but has slipped to 9. The under is 34-16-8 in the Cubs' last 54 road games.

Weather To Watch

Angels at White Sox: 50 percent chance of thunderstorms, winds blowing in from right/center field at 19 mph.

Indians at Rangers: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Who's Hot

Reds have won 11 of their last 15
Royals have won seven of their last nine.
Athletics have won seven of their last nine.

Who's Not

Marlins have lost seven of their last nine.
Cubs have lost seven of their last 10.
Giants have lost seven of their last eight.

Key Stat

0 - Number of runs the Washington Nationals have scored over rookie sensation Stephen Strasburg's last 18 innings on the mound. Strasburg has allowed only six earned runs over that span.

Injury That Shouldn't Be Overlooked

Oakland Athletics outfielder Coco Crisp left Sunday afternoon's game against the Cleveland Indians with tightness in his left hamstring and is questionable for today's series opener against the Yankees. Crisp has already served two stints on the disabled list but is batting .302 with two home runs, 10 RBIs and four stolen bases in 11 games. Adding to the A's lack of depth in the outfield is Conor Jackson, who has missed four straight starts with a tight hamstring.

Game Of The Day

Los Angeles Angels at Chicago White Sox (-150, 9.5)

Notable Quotable

"I've talked to Carmelo Anthony that he needs to come out here. I've talked to Tony Parker. Both guys are ready to join me if I decide to come here. So we will see if we can work it out."

Free-agent forward/center Amar'e Stoudemire said of the New York Knicks, where the former Phoenix Suns' All-Star appears to be headed. Stoudemire had breakfast with former Suns coach and current Knicks coach Mike D'Antoni on Sunday to clear the air about disagreements they had in Phoenix.

Tips And Notes

Giants pitcher Jonathan Sanchez should be buying a few rounds for his teammates for their offensive support. The over is 7-0 in his last seven starts, which is usually a bad sign for a pitcher. But Sanchez is 4-2 during that span and has allowed only 21 runs during that stretch. A total of 78 runs have been scored in his last seven starts, an average of more than 11 per game. He faces the Brewers in Milwaukee, where the over is 22-5-1 in their last 28 home games. The posted total is 8.5.

Bettors seem to be buying into the theory that the Miami Heat will be the big winners in the ongoing free agency frenzy. The Heat opened as 25/1 longshots to win the 2011 NBA title but they have been bet down to 6/1, second only to the two-time defending champion Los Angeles Lakers (7/2). Other teams to make big leaps are the Bulls (from 18/1 to 12/1) the Knicks (from 25/1 to 18/1) and Nets and Clippers (from 50/1 to 40/1). The Cavs have fallen from 8/1 to 15/1. These numbers should see a big shift in the coming days as free agents begin to finalize their decisions.

Tiger Woods remains a curious 5/2 favorite to win the British Open despite the fact that he is playing some of the worst golf of his career. Woods shot 1-over-par 71 in Sunday's final round of the AT&T National, marking the first time since the 1999 Bay Hill Invitational that he failed to break par in all four rounds of a tournament. The second pick is Jim Furyk at 10/1, but the best bet might be the real chalk, the field at 2/1, which includes some emerging European Tour players.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Papayagang pick of the day All 75*

Philadelphia Phillies ML
Tampa Bay Rays ML
Seattle Mariners ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL MLB

Boston at Tampa Bay
The Rays look to build on their 7-1 record in Matt Garza's last 8 home starts against the Red Sox. Tampa Bay is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140)

Game 951-952: San Francisco at Milwuakee (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Sanchez) 15.508; Milwaukee (Bush) 13.962
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+100); Under

Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Gorzelanny) 14.944; Arizona (Kennedy) 13.673
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); Under

Game 955-956: Atlanta at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 15.820; Philadelphia (Halladay) 14.765
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+150); Under

Game 957-958: Cincinnati at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Harang) 15.694; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 15.192
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+115); Under

Game 959-960: Florida at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Robertson) 15.681; LA Dodgers (Ely) 15.463
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+145); Over

Game 961-962: Baltimore at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Millwood) 14.410; Detroit (Oliver) 15.133
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-190); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-190); Over

Game 963-964: LA Angels at Chicago White Sox (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Kazmir) 16.463; White Sox (Floyd) 17.282
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-145); Under

Game 965-966: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Matsuzaka) 15.004; Tampa Bay (Garza) 16.191
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140); Over

Game 967-968: Cleveland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Laffey) 14.640; Texas (Beltre) 15.928
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-200); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-200); Under

Game 969-970: NY Yankees at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Vazquez) 15.103; Oakland (Sheets) 16.346
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+135); Over

Game 971-972: Kansas City at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Bannister) 16.595; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.616
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+170); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Brewers
Mariners(RL)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

474 - 348 run 58 %
Bonus Play MON UNDER 9 1/2 Cubs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SBP Soccer 23-14 (yesterday not posted)

Norway Tippeligaen Haugesund v Start IK** Win Bet Haugesund

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

KIKI SPORTS

Monday July 5th

1 unit LA Dodgers -165
1 unit LA Angels +135
1 unit Boston +130

 

[patriots12]

Dave Cokin
Solid Gold: Tampa Bay ml
Atl/Phil under

 

[patriots12]

Foxsheet

4* Top Situations


There are no 5* top situations avalible for today yet

Favoring: CHICAGO CUBS on the run line. Play On - Road teams against a 1.5 run line (CHICAGO CUBS) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start
(45-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.6%, )
The situation's record this season is: (4-0 ).

Favoring: Under on the total. Play Under - All teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings
(83-32 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.2%, )
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 ).

Favoring: SEATTLE on the money line. Play On - All favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (SEATTLE) - poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after a win by 4 runs or more
(110-24 since 1997.) (82.1%, +61.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (11-5 +1.3 units).

Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line. Play Against - Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (DETROIT) - starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 5 starts
(137-149 since 1997.) (47.9%, +101.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-3 +11.1 units).

Favoring: FLORIDA on the money line. Play Against - Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA DODGERS) - starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 5 starts
(137-149 since 1997.) (47.9%, )
The situation's record this season is: (7-3 ).

 

[patriots12]

[URL="http://www.vegasprosportspicks.com/"] [FONT=&quot] [URL="http://www.vegasprosportspicks.com/"]Vegas Pro Sports Picks

Detroit -1,5 (+110)
Texas - 1.5 (-105)
Dodgers (-160[/FONT]
[/URL][/URL]http://www.vegasprosportspicks.com/

 

[joeduffy]

Matt Rivers, Executive Handicapper at OffshoreInsiders.com has a free winner for Monday on the Mets.

Mike Pelfrey has not been as good as the first six or so weeks to the season but I do think he is a little cheap here. I backed the Mets in this exact comp spot yesterday and cashed the ticket and will expect history to repeat itself today.

Aaron Harang is good but nothing more these days and should get outpitched here at Citi Field. The veteran right-hander is a little inconsistent as we see a quality start followed by a poor start.

The Mets are a little banged up again with Jose Reyes missing some action but all in all are a good team and are right there in the NL East. Jerry Manual has literally gone from being on a very, very hot seat to the potential Manager of the Year.

The Reds are a good team and I am somewhat sold on them but I'm still not buying into them being Division champion good. Sure Joey Votto is awesome and Bruce, Stubbs, Philips and Rolen are quality bats leading the way but Cincinnati is still not an upper echelon club or as good as these New Yorkers.

I expect Pelfrey to be very good, maybe not great but very good and at home laying only around double juice is a solid value. The Mets have been great at home all season long with Wright, Bay, Francouer and others and at what appears to be a cheapish price I'll make a small play on Pelfrey and the Amazins.

The pick: NY Mets

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DEANO'S
HRC Smart Choice* Best Bets|Your Capping Agent-July 5th

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*************************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*************************

[956] Philadelphia |5*|-166|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

[962] Detroit |5*|+115|-1.5 Runs|Network N/A|1:05 pm EST

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BEN BURNS
NY Mets
Philadelphia Phillies

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS WAGERS

DETROIT –1½ +1.16 over Baltimore

The Tigers will send out Andy Oliver to make just his third major league start and the best news in terms of wagering is that Oliver is 0-2 and that makes him undervalued. Fact is, he could easily be 2-0 after throwing two rock-solid games against Atlanta and Minnesota, both on the road. In 12 innings, Oliver allowed just four earned runs while walking three and striking out 10. Oliver has four pitches that he commands well and watching him you can’t help but be impressed by his smooth and easy delivery. Now he’ll take a huge step down in class against an O’s team that has won four times in 16 games against lefties on the road. Overall, the O’s are 7-20 vs southpaws. Kevin Millwood is coming off a horrendous 8.82 ERA in June. Millwood won his last two games, which is once again proof how misleading W/L records can be. Over those two starts in which Millwood pitched the minimum five innings in both to qualify for a win, he allowed 16 hits, walked four and struck out five in those 10 innings. In five innings against the Marlins he threw 116 pitches and followed that up by throwing 108 pitches in five frames against the A’s. Millwood is not fooling anyone. He’s 35-years-old and his arm looks dead. He’ll pitch in the scorching heat today in a matinee game against a kid with a live arm, who can’t wait to get out there. Play: Detroit –1½ +1.16 (Risking 2 units).

CHICAGO –1½ +1.42 over L.A. Angels

The Angels had a breakout day yesterday by scoring 11 times but they faced an unproven career minor-leaguer named Anthony Lerew. Prior to that they were struggling miserably at the plate and you can expect more of that here against Gavin Floyd. Floyd (90 BPV, 5-5-4-5-3 PQS) is coming off a 2.58 ERA in June, has a 50% GB% for the year, hasn’t coughed up a HR in his last five starts and has allowed only two walks in his last three outings. Over his last five starts Floyd has allowed just five earned runs and has been the AL’s best pitcher over that stretch with an ERA of 1.26. Furthermore, the South Side is 8-1 over its last nine home games and they’re coming off a series win in Texas against the previously red-hot Rangers. The real kicker here, however, is betting against Scott Kazmir. Kazmir (6 BPV, 5-3-3-0-0 PQS) remains primarily a two-pitch pitcher without his once-lethal slider, something that hasn’t worked well for most of the season and not at all recently, as suggested by his last two PQS scores of zero. The signs say bet against him and that 1.2 hr/9 against a RH-leaning CHW lineup in HR-happy U.S Cellular Field. Play: Chicago –1½ +1.42 (Risking 2 units).

TEXAS –1½ +1.00 over Cleveland

First off, the Indians are now without Russell Branyan and Shin-Soo Choo, Combined, that duo has 23 jacks and 67 RBI’s. The rest of the team is loaded with guys that have anywhere between 1 and 6 bombs. This team was struggling offensively before Choo and Branyon went down and now one really has to wonder where the offense will come from. In order to win or cover the 1½-runs here, the Indians are going to have to score at least five times or more and that’s a huge stretch. They’ll face a rookie they’ve never seen by the name of Omar Beltre. Beltre hasn't pitched in the U.S. since '04 due to the inability to obtain a work visa. Beltre was pitching in the Dominican Summer League between '05 and '09. He has a nice assortment of pitches including a 90-96 mph fastball thrown with very quick arm action. His best pitch may be his hard splitter, which he buries deep in the strike zone and induces his fair share of groundballs. Beltre rounds out his arsenal with a good slider and in his first start against the Angels he struck out six in four frames. With that first start out of the way and a much-easier opponent here, expect better things from Beltre. Besides, the Indians will send out career stiff Aaron Laffey. Laffey shut down a struggling TOR offense in his last start, but his career and year-to-date numbers scream that the light-groundballer is very likely going to get ruined at this park. Play: Texas –1½ +1.00 (Risking 2 units).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tom Freese

15* Pitching Mismatch - Chicago White Sox

White Sox starter Gavin Floyd has been on the winning side in his last 3 starts. Chicago is 12-1 their last 13 games vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of over 1.30. The White Sox are 7-1 their last 8 home games. Chicago is 15-6 their last 21 home games off a road trip of 7 or more days. Angels starter Scott Kazmir has a losing record this year going 7-8. The Angels are 4-9 their last 13 road games when the total is 9.0 to 10.5. The Halos are 1-4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their last game. Kazmir is 2-6 when the total is 9.0 to 10.5.